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Nothing Good Stays Listed: Why Buyers Who Waited for a Softer Market Got a Tighter One

The first half of 2026 ran a clean experiment on business aviation buyers. When conflict broke out in late February, prospective buyers did the conventionally prudent thing: they paused. Transaction activity turned negative through February and March as purchasers stepped back to let the uncertainty clear, expecting to re-engage into a softer market with more inventory and better position. The market that greeted them in April was tighter and more expensive. Preowned business jet median values rose 3% in the first quarter even as transaction counts fell 10.5% year over year. Sellers did not blink. Inventory did not build. And the most desirable aircraft continued to trade within weeks of listing — or before a listing ever existed.

+3%

preowned business jet median values, Q1 2026

-10.5%

transaction counts year over year while values rose

6.6%

of the active fleet for sale, vs. 8.2% historical average

$1B+

in FNCC completed aviation financing

The buyers who acquired aircraft in the first half were not braver and they were not richer. They were faster — and the speed was structural, not personal. Nearly two-thirds of aircraft valued above $10 million involve multi-entity ownership arrangements that push traditional bank timelines to 68–100 days, against a market where a well-pedigreed aircraft goes under contract in eleven days. Buyers were not outbid; they were out-processed. With 100% bonus depreciation pulling demand toward year-end and every deferred buyer attempting to transact inside the same fourth-quarter window, the second half compresses further. In this market, financing capability is acquisition capability.

What This Research Covers:

  • The Experiment Nobody Designed: What the February–March Pause Proved

    The April Market: Values, Inventory, and the Cost of Re-Engagement

    Where the Inventory Went: The Off-Market Migration of Quality Airframes

    The Execution Constraint: Ownership Structures and the 68–100 Day Problem

    Q4 Compression: Bonus Depreciation and the Year-End Collision

    Pre-Positioned Capital: What the Buyers Who Closed Did Differently

The buyers who closed in the first half had financing that was already underwritten — ownership structure reviewed, residual parameters set, approval framework in place — before the aircraft appeared. Waiting was not a hedge. In a structurally supply-constrained market, it is a bid for whatever remains.

Download the Research and Analysis

This report examines how the first half of 2026 repriced the waiting strategy in business aviation — and why execution capability, not price or credit access, now determines who acquires aircraft. Includes analysis of first-half transaction and inventory data, the off-market migration of quality airframes, ownership structure timelines, fourth-quarter depreciation dynamics, and a framework for pre-positioning acquisition capital.

First National Capital: Your Partner in Aviation Finance

The gap between ownership structure complexity and financing capability is structural—not situational. Traditional lenders were not designed to evaluate trusts, navigate multi-member LLCs, or move at the speed aviation transactions demand. First National Capital was.

Our Aviation Finance team works with owners, operators, and their advisors to build financing strategies that align with ownership objectives, operational requirements, and transaction timelines. We specialize in:

  • Closing aircraft financing in 2–3 weeks—not 68–100 days—because we understand the structures and don’t require external expertise to evaluate transactions
  • Navigating complex ownership arrangements including LLCs, trusts, partnerships, and multi-entity configurations
  • Structuring residual-based financing that reflects actual aircraft value dynamics, not generic depreciation tables
  • Supporting Part 91 and Part 135 operations with structures appropriate to each operational context
  • Pre-positioning capital relationships so financing readiness never constrains transaction execution

With over $1 billion deployed in aviation financing across North America, First National Capital has the expertise, capacity, and execution speed to serve as a genuine strategic partner—not merely a transactional vendor.

Flexible Terms

Finance Structures

It All Begins With A Conversation About Capital Needs

We listen. We live out-of-the-box. We solve problems. And we get deals done.  Let’s do this.